Monte Carlo Simulator

Thousands of possible futures for your strategy, from your own stats.

$
%

Average win ÷ average loss, e.g. 1.5

%

1–2000

10–5000

%

Result

Median final balance
$16,223
Range (5th – 95th percentile)
$12,331 – $21,882
Median max drawdown
8.7%
Runs that hit −30%
0%
Runs ending in profit
99.9%
Expectancy per trade
+0.25 R

30 sample equity paths

For educational purposes only. Results are estimates based on your inputs and are not financial advice.

How it's calculated

Each simulation draws trades at random: a win adds reward × risk, a loss subtracts the risk, where risk is a % of the current balance (compounding).

We repeat it many times and report the median and the 5th–95th percentile range of final balances and maximum drawdowns, plus how often the drawdown went past your limit.

Results describe your inputs, not the future: real trades are not independent and your statistics can change.

Track the trades behind these numbers

NovaTrade journals every MT5 trade automatically and shows your real win rate, R and drawdown.

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